Validated Quantitative Research

From idea to validated edge.

Any AI can run a backtest. VARRD guarantees it was done right. Describe any trading idea — we test it with real data, real statistics, and the same guardrails that institutional quant firms enforce internally.

Equities · Futures · Crypto · Commodities · FX · Fixed Income

Anyone can ask an AI to find a 4.0 Sharpe ratio setup. It'll happily oblige — with numbers it fabricated. The hard part isn't generating results. It's guaranteeing the results are honest. That's what we built.

Idea in, evidence out.

Every trading idea can be tested. Describe what you're thinking, and VARRD handles the quantitative heavy lifting.

01

Describe Your Idea

Say it however you think it. "What happens to gold when real yields drop?" or "Find every time the McRib came back and see if there's an edge to buy Bitcoin."

02

Research & Explore

VARRD loads the data, builds indicators, explores correlations, and surfaces what the numbers show — before jumping to conclusions.

03

Rigorous Testing

Statistical validation with anti-p-hacking guardrails, multiple comparison correction, and out-of-sample testing. No shortcuts.

04

Validated Setup

If the edge is real, get entry rules, stop levels, and position sizing. If it's not — you know before risking capital.

Ask anything. Get evidence.

Every answer is tied to a traceable test. No LLM guessing. No hallucinated statistics.

What if I buy crude oil after a 3-day pullback when the 50-day moving average is rising?
64%
Win Rate
+0.31
ATR Return
p < .02
Significance
142
Occurrences

The guardrails are the product.

Any AI can produce a backtest. These 8 systems ensure the results actually mean something. They're enforced at the infrastructure level — not by prompting, not by suggestion. The AI physically cannot skip them.

K

K-Tracking

Every test you run is counted. Try 50 variations? Your significance threshold rises accordingly. No free looks.

Σ

Bonferroni Correction

Multiple comparison penalty applied automatically. The more things you test, the higher the bar for significance.

×

OOS Lock

Out-of-sample validation is sacred. One shot. Locked forever. No peeking, no re-running, no optimizing after the fact.

>

Lookahead Detection

The system catches when a formula accidentally uses future data. Entry timing models account for when you'd actually get filled.

=

Tools Calculate, AI Interprets

The AI never fabricates a number. Every statistic comes from computed results on real market data. Architecture enforces the separation.

Chart → Approve → Test

You must see the pattern on a chart and approve it before any test runs. No skipping validation. No silent testing.

#

Fingerprint Deduplication

Every test is fingerprinted. Can't inflate results by running the same formula, market, and horizon combination twice.

No Post-OOS Optimization

Once out-of-sample validates, the parameters are locked permanently. No tweaking. No curve-fitting. The result is final.

These systems run whether the researcher is a human clicking buttons or an AI agent running autonomously at 3am. The infrastructure doesn't care who's asking — it enforces the same rigor every time.

Your home for every
AI-discovered edge.

Every validated setup lives in your personal library. See which edges are firing right now, with exact entry and exit levels.

Active Edges — Your Library
RSI pullback in uptrend CL
Entry 68.42
Stop 66.15
TP 72.80
Firing
Vol crush after earnings AAPL
Win rate 67%
p < .01
Idle
Gold bid on yield inversion GC
Entry 2,341
Stop 2,298
TP 2,415
Firing
Monday gap-fill on NQ NQ
Win rate 71%
p < .005
Idle

Find it once. Monitor it forever.

Every edge you discover through VARRD — whether you found it yourself or your AI agent found it while you slept — gets saved to your personal hypothesis library with full statistical provenance.

When conditions align again, you'll know. Exact entry price, stop loss, take profit, and the statistical backing behind every level.

  • Live monitoring — see which of your edges are firing right now
  • Exact entries and exits — price levels, not vague direction calls
  • Full audit trail — sample size, p-value, OOS result for every setup
  • Growing library — every research session adds to your collection

Institutional-grade research,
without the institution.

The same statistical rigor used by quantitative funds — accessible through a conversation.

Trade Setup Optimization

When an edge exists, get optimal stop loss, take profit, entry timing, and position sizing — ready to execute.

Multi-Asset Coverage

Stocks, ETFs, 35 CME futures markets, cryptocurrencies, and currencies. Research across asset classes from one platform.

Natural Language Interface

No Python required. Describe your idea the way you think about it. VARRD translates it to quantitative research.

MCP Integration

Connect any AI agent via Model Context Protocol (MCP). SSE transport, structured responses, full tool access. The preferred way for agents to use VARRD.

REST API

Full REST endpoint for programmatic access. Session management, multi-turn research, billing, and live scanning — all via simple HTTP calls.

CLI

Command-line interface for terminal-native workflows. Pipe ideas in, get validated results out. Built for developers and automated pipelines.

Your AI agent thinks like the
best traders in history.

Trained on the research frameworks of elite systematic traders — generates institutional-quality hypotheses from decades of pattern recognition.

Generate

Institutional-quality hypotheses

Your agent draws from 40 years of systematic trading frameworks to generate ideas that a senior researcher would recognize as worth testing.

Diagnose

Deep asset analysis

Before testing, your agent profiles the asset like a senior portfolio manager — understanding regime, volatility structure, and where edges tend to live.

Validate

Full statistical pipeline

Every generated idea runs through VARRD's complete validation pipeline autonomously — event study, multi-market, backtest, optimization. No shortcuts.

This isn't a chatbot brainstorming session. Your agent uses VARRD like a quant researcher with decades of pattern recognition — generating, testing, and validating ideas while you sleep. Wake up to new edges in your library, fully backed by data.

Any market, any timeframe.

From 5-minute bars to daily data, across every major asset class.

E-mini S&P 500
Nasdaq 100
Crude Oil
Gold
Bitcoin
10Y Treasury
Euro FX
Natural Gas
Silver
Copper
Soybeans
Russell 2000
SPY
NVDA
Ethereum
Japanese Yen
Live Cattle
Wheat
+ more

Watch VARRD in action.

From raw idea to validated trade setup in minutes. Watch real sessions showing research, testing, and optimization.

Three ways to use VARRD.

Whether you're doing the research yourself, supervising an AI agent, or letting it run fully autonomous — same guardrails, same rigor.

01

You + VARRD

Chat with VARRD directly. Describe your ideas, see charts, approve tests, get trade setups. The classic research experience.

02

You + Your Agent + VARRD

Point your AI agent (Claude, GPT, or any model) at VARRD. It does the research, you review what it found. Best of both worlds.

03

Your Agent + VARRD

Fully autonomous. Your agent self-authenticates via crypto wallet, pays with USDC, and researches while you sleep. Wake up to new edges.

Pay per query

$2
Free on signup
~$0.30
Idea to validated strategy
  • A full research session — hundreds of thousands of lines of regression analysis, multiple markets, optimization — averages about 30 cents.
  • Six months ago that same session cost ~$3. As compute gets cheaper, so does VARRD. We pass savings through directly.
  • You pay exact AI token cost + a 15% infrastructure surcharge. That 15% keeps our AWS servers, data feeds, and platform running. Nothing hidden.
  • Credit packs: $5 / $20 / $50 — add credits instantly via Stripe
  • Autonomous agents pay with USDC on Base via x402 protocol

Enterprise & Teams

Fully private usage, personalized for your business or group.

  • Private environment — your data stays yours
  • Custom data sources and integrations
  • Team management and shared libraries
  • Volume pricing for high-frequency usage
  • Dedicated support and onboarding

Need special accommodations or have questions? Reach out any time.

Decades of edge-finding,
distilled into software.

VARRD's founders are Princeton-educated in mathematics and artificial intelligence. They spent years working alongside one of the most successful futures trading firms of the past 40 years — dissecting the research process that turned raw market intuition into systematic, repeatable edges.

VARRD is that process, rebuilt from the ground up with AI — so that anyone, not just quants with PhDs and Bloomberg terminals, can do the same caliber of research.

VARRD is a research and decision-support tool. It does not execute trades, manage portfolios, or provide investment advice.

Ready to test your ideas?

Request access and start validating trading hypotheses with institutional-grade statistical analysis.

We're onboarding users in batches. Drop us a note and we'll get you set up.